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An AI reads prediction markets, 𝕏, news wires, SEC filings & whale flows around the clock β€” then tells you where the market's odds appear to be wrong. Every call is timestamped, public, and scored when the market settles.

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No screenshots, no cherry-picking. Every call we log is public the moment we make it β€” and graded automatically when the market resolves. This is how you'll know the edge is real.

60calls logged
Calibratingaccuracy
Aug 19first settlement
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⏳ Calibrating β€” first markets settle on 2026-08-19. As each resolves, a βœ“ or βœ— lands here automatically. Nothing is hidden, including misses.
MarketOur est.MarketEdgeStatus
CryptoWill Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August? πŸ”’ Open
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 28? πŸ”’ Resolves today
CryptoWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? πŸ”’ Open
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on August 28? πŸ”’ 80% Resolves today
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 28? πŸ”’ 100% Resolves today
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 28? πŸ”’ Resolves today
CryptoWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? πŸ”’ 34.5% Open
CryptoWill Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August? πŸ”’ 72% Open
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 27? πŸ”’ 99.7% Resolves today
CryptoWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? πŸ”’ 2.4% Open
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 27? πŸ”’ 99.9% Resolves today
CryptoWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August? πŸ”’ 13.5% Open
CryptoWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on August 28? πŸ”’ 7.3% Resolves today
CryptoWill XRP reach $2.00 in August? πŸ”’ 9.9% Open
CryptoWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August? πŸ”’ Open
CryptoWill Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August? πŸ”’ 33.5% Open
CryptoWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on August 28? πŸ”’ 9.5% Open
CryptoWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August? πŸ”’ 7.5% Open
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 23? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill XRP reach $1.80 in August? πŸ”’ 16.9% Open
CryptoWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August? πŸ”’ 16% Open
CryptoWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? πŸ”’ 37% Open
CryptoWill Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in August? πŸ”’ 53.9% Open
CryptoWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? πŸ”’ 1.8% Open
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 22? πŸ”’ 99.7% Settling
CryptoWill XRP reach $1.40 in August? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 August 17-23? πŸ”’ 73.9% Settling
CryptoWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 17-23? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August? πŸ”’ Open
CryptoWill Ethereum reach $2,400 in August? πŸ”’ 45.1% Open
CryptoWill Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? πŸ”’ Open
CryptoWill Ethereum reach $2,700 in August? πŸ”’ 10.1% Open
CryptoWill Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026? πŸ”’ Open
CryptoWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? πŸ”’ 91.5% Open
CryptoWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 21? πŸ”’ 14.6% Settling
CryptoWill Ethereum reach $2,200 August 17-23? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 17-23? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 21? πŸ”’ 98.7% NO +2.7 Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026? πŸ”’ 100% Open
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24? πŸ”’ 3.6% Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 21? πŸ”’ 99.8% Settling
MarketsMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? πŸ”’ 80.5% Open
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 20? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 20? πŸ”’ 99.9% Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 20? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 20? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 17-23? πŸ”’ 1.5% Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19? πŸ”’ 90% Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 19? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 17-23? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 19? πŸ”’ 100% Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19? πŸ”’ 4% Settling
CryptoWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? πŸ”’ 20% Open
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 19? πŸ”’ Settling

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This week's biggest mispricings

βš– Polymarket Β· PoliticsEdge: YESresolves 2026
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? β€” Market: 44% Β· πŸ”’ our model
Legislative momentum looks stronger than the crowd is pricing. Full reasoning and our exact probability are reserved for subscribers.
πŸ”’ Full reasoning, corroboration sources & our exact probability β€” Edge Β£9/mo
βš– Polymarket Β· CryptoEdge: NOon launch
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch? β€” Market: 99.1% Β· πŸ”’ our model
The crowd is pricing near-certainty; residual launch risk may make that too rich. Full reasoning and our exact probability are reserved for subscribers.
πŸ”’ Full reasoning, corroboration sources & our exact probability β€” Edge Β£9/mo
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Live signal feed Β· 𝕏 & news

News - decrypt.coBTCLong lean27 Aug Β· 10:46
Bitcoin ETFs Draw $2.8B in Eight-Day Streak as BTC Tests $80K
Sustained $2.8B Bitcoin ETF inflows over eight days signal strong institutional demand as BTC approaches a major price level. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.78 Β· 7-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioBTCLong lean25 Aug Β· 15:23
Bitcoin tops $81,000 as Treasury buyback plans weaken the dollar and U.S. Bitcoin ETFs post nearly $2 billion in weekly inflows
Bitcoin breaking above $81,000 alongside a weaker dollar narrative and nearly $2 billion of weekly U.S. spot ETF inflows is a materially bullish demand and macro signal. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.78 Β· 7-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioBTCLong lean21 Aug Β· 16:35
U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs Post $606.29M in Inflows, Led by BlackRock’s IBIT, as Bitcoin Price Strength Continues
Large U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF inflows, especially led by BlackRock's IBIT, indicate strong institutional demand and support near-term BTC price momentum. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.78 Β· 3-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioBTCLong lean25 Aug Β· 16:05
BlackRock’s IBIT sees record call-option volume as Bitcoin rallies toward $80,000 and inflows top $1 billion
Record IBIT call-option volume and over $1 billion of inflows alongside Bitcoin rallying toward $80,000 indicate strong near-term bullish demand for BTC. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.76 Β· 3-day
News wireBTCLong lean26 Aug Β· 15:24
Bitcoin Holds Near $79,200 After Briefly Surpassing $80,000 Amid Treasury Moves and ETF Inflows
Bitcoin breaking above $80,000 on ETF inflows, short-covering, and supportive macro treasury activity is a clearly bullish momentum signal, though some move may already be priced in. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.74 Β· 3-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioBTCLong lean24 Aug Β· 06:54
Bitcoin rallies 22.7% in a week as spot ETF inflows hit $1.92 billion and Strive CEO says the next cycle may be its strongest
Bitcoin-specific headline reports strong weekly price momentum and large spot ETF inflows, which is bullish though partly retrospective and promotion-driven. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.74 Β· 7-day
News wireBTCLong lean26 Aug Β· 21:11
A Major Bitcoin Short Squeeze Is Taking MicroStrategy Stock Higher. What Comes Next
A large Bitcoin short squeeze and sharp rebound in crypto-linked equities suggests near-term bullish momentum for BTC, though the move may already be partially priced in. | corro: 2 sources agree (long); boost +0.10
Conviction
0.73 Β· 3-day
News wireBTCShort lean27 Aug Β· 16:06
Bitcoin dips below $78K as stocks, gold fall on higher US PCE Inflation data
Hotter-than-expected US PCE inflation pressured risk assets and coincided with Bitcoin breaking below $78K, creating a bearish near-term macro signal for BTC. | corro: 2 sources agree (short); boost +0.10
Conviction
0.72 Β· 3-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioBTCLong lean27 Aug Β· 13:02
BlackRock buys $200.76 million in Bitcoin as spot Bitcoin ETFs record $232.12 million in net inflows and BTC briefly tops $80,000
Large BlackRock Bitcoin buying and positive spot ETF net inflows indicate strong institutional demand, which is bullish for BTC over the next few days. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.72 Β· 3-day
News - coinjournal.netETHLong lean27 Aug Β· 11:06
Ethereum price outlook turns bullish as ETF inflows support $2,800 target
Strong ETH price momentum, ETF inflows, short liquidations, and improved risk appetite are bullish catalysts over the coming week. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.72 Β· 7-day
News wireBTCLong lean26 Aug Β· 20:19
Strive raises funds to acquire 210 Bitcoin as treasury exceeds 21,000 BTC
A public company raising funds to acquire additional Bitcoin and holding over 21,000 BTC is a moderately bullish treasury-adoption signal for BTC. | corro: 2 sources agree (long); boost +0.10
Conviction
0.72 Β· 7-day
News - cryptoslate.comBTCLong lean26 Aug Β· 19:47
Strategy’s MSTR quietly outperforms Bitcoin’s $80,000 rally as STRC closes in on $100
Bitcoin has rallied sharply on macro tailwinds from lower yield pressure and a weaker dollar, but the headline centers partly on MSTR/STRC outperformance rather than a direct BTC-specific catalyst. | corro: 2 sources agree (long); boost +0.10
Conviction
0.72 Β· 3-day
News wireBTCLong lean26 Aug Β· 17:41
Bitcoin tops $80,000 as optimistic mood returns to crypto market
Bitcoin breaking above $80,000 alongside ETF inflows, a weaker dollar, and renewed crypto optimism is a clear bullish momentum signal for BTC over the next few days. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.72 Β· 3-day
News wireBTCLong lean26 Aug Β· 17:20
Bitcoin Tops $80,000 as the Treasury Secretary Weakens the Dollar
Bitcoin breaking above $80,000 amid dollar-weakening policy signals and explicitly crypto-supportive administration moves is a bullish macro and momentum catalyst for BTC. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.72 Β· 3-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioSOLLong lean25 Aug Β· 18:24
Solana activity hits record 4.2B transactions as SOL rallies 40% above $100
Record Solana transaction activity alongside a strong SOL rally suggests bullish momentum and network-demand confirmation, though some upside may already be priced in. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.72 Β· 7-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioETHLong lean22 Aug Β· 23:03
Ethereum surges nearly 30% in a week as spot ETF inflows return and short liquidations accelerate
Renewed spot ETF inflows and accelerating short liquidations are bullish near-term catalysts for ETH, though much of the move may already be reflected after a 30% weekly surge. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.72 Β· 3-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioLINKLong lean21 Aug Β· 16:03
Chainlink LINK rises 22% as Chainlink expands AI infrastructure and gains traction with institutions and regulators
LINK is already up sharply on positive Chainlink AI infrastructure expansion and institutional/regulatory traction, indicating bullish near-term momentum. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.72 Β· 3-day
Telegram - cointelegraphSOLLong lean27 Aug Β· 13:55
BREAKING: $13T Charles Schwab to add Solana, Avalanche, and Chainlink trading to Schwab Crypto accounts in the coming months.
Charles Schwab adding Solana trading would expand regulated retail access and is likely bullish for SOL over the coming months. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.68 Β· 30-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioBTCLong lean22 Aug Β· 10:25
Bitcoin briefly tests $80,000 as ETF inflows and a short squeeze drive a nearly 20% weekly rally
Bitcoin testing $80,000 amid ETF inflows, a short squeeze, and a nearly 20% weekly rally signals strong near-term bullish momentum, though some upside may already be priced in. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.68 Β· 3-day
News wireSOLLong lean26 Aug Β· 18:13
Solana surpasses Base in daily x402 transactions for the first time in six months
Solana overtaking Base in daily x402 transactions suggests improving network usage and micropayments momentum, but the signal is niche and only moderately bullish. | corro: 2 sources agree (long); boost +0.10
Conviction
0.65 Β· 7-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioXRPShort lean22 Aug Β· 08:20
Crypto sell-off triggers $500 million in long liquidations across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and XRP
A broad crypto sell-off causing large long liquidations including XRP is bearish near term due to forced selling and weakened market momentum. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.65 Β· 3-day
News wireBTCLong lean26 Aug Β· 18:23
Bitcoin enters β€˜initial phase’ of new bull market, but $83K remains key: CryptoQuant
Bitcoin's strong rally and CryptoQuant Bull Score jump suggest bullish momentum, though the need for confirmation above $83K tempers conviction. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.64 Β· 7-day
News wireSOLLong lean26 Aug Β· 16:28
Bitwise clients buy $25M in SOL, net purchases reach $948M
Large reported SOL purchases through Bitwise indicate institutional demand and are modestly bullish, though past similar SOL long signals have been weak. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.64 Β· 7-day
News wireBTCLong lean26 Aug Β· 14:51
Gains as Bitcoin Reclaimed $68,000. Can Washington Turn Sentiment Into Earnings?
Bitcoin reclaiming $68,000 on a 6% move alongside supportive White House comments suggests a near-term bullish sentiment catalyst, though the headline is partially equity-focused on Coinbase. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.64 Β· 3-day
Telegram - cointelegraphBNBLong lean25 Aug Β· 09:13
TODAY: BNB Chain activated its Pasteur hard fork, strengthening bridge and validator security while targeting greater transaction capacity.
BNB Chain's successful Pasteur hard fork improves bridge and validator security while targeting higher capacity, a moderately bullish network upgrade for BNB. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.64 Β· 7-day
News - cryptoslate.comBTCLong lean27 Aug Β· 11:37
Behind Bitcoin’s sudden resilience is a $2 billion cash surge that wiped out speculative leverage
Bitcoin showing resilience near intraday highs after a $2 billion cash inflow and leverage wipeout suggests spot-supported bullish momentum despite macro rate-hike pressure. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.63 Β· 3-day
News wireBTCLong lean26 Aug Β· 15:23
BlackRock Helps Pull More Bitcoin Wealth Deeper Into Wall Street
BlackRock pulling more Bitcoin wealth into Wall Street suggests continued institutional adoption and deeper mainstream financial integration, which is moderately bullish for BTC over a month-plus horizon. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.63 Β· 30-day
News wireBTCLong lean26 Aug Β· 14:20
Bitcoin Tests $80K, Analyst Sees Further Upside. BTC ETFs Form Bases
Bitcoin testing $80K on a continuing rally with bullish analyst targets and BTC ETFs approaching buy points suggests positive momentum, though the headline is largely technical and analyst-driven rather than a hard catalyst. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.63 Β· 7-day
News wireBTCLong lean27 Aug Β· 15:44
Your 60/40 Portfolio May Be 100% Exposed to a Dying Dollar, Bitwise Says
Record gold and Bitcoin ETF inflows plus commentary framing Bitcoin as a hedge against fiat dollar risk is moderately bullish for BTC demand. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.62 Β· 7-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioSOLLong lean27 Aug Β· 12:30
Crypto markets rise as SOL leads gains, Robinhood Chain posts breakout in DEX and RWA activity, and BTC/ETH ETFs see strong inflows
SOL is explicitly leading broad crypto market gains, suggesting near-term bullish momentum despite mixed broader-market ETF inflow details. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.62 Β· 3-day

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01 Β· HARVEST

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