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An AI reads prediction markets, 𝕏, news wires, SEC filings & whale flows around the clock β€” then tells you where the market's odds appear to be wrong. Every call is timestamped, public, and scored when the market settles.

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No screenshots, no cherry-picking. Every call we log is public the moment we make it β€” and graded automatically when the market resolves. This is how you'll know the edge is real.

60calls logged
Calibratingaccuracy
Oct 19first settlement
100%public & timestamped
⏳ Calibrating β€” first markets settle on 2026-10-19. As each resolves, a βœ“ or βœ— lands here automatically. Nothing is hidden, including misses.
MarketOur est.MarketEdgeStatus
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28? πŸ”’ 96.6% Open
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 27? πŸ”’ 2.8% Resolves today
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 28? πŸ”’ Open
MarketsWill commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M? πŸ”’ 91.7% Open
CryptoWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 October 19-25? πŸ”’ Resolves today
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25? πŸ”’ 96% Settling
CryptoWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? πŸ”’ 59.5% Open
CryptoWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25? πŸ”’ 2.9% Resolves today
CryptoWill Ethereum reach $3,100 October 19-25? πŸ”’ 0.2% Resolves today
CryptoWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 19-25? πŸ”’ 4.4% Resolves today
CryptoWill Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25? πŸ”’ 5.6% Resolves today
CryptoWill Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? πŸ”’ Open
CryptoWill Ethereum reach $2,800 October 19-25? πŸ”’ 50% Resolves today
CryptoWill Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 19-25? πŸ”’ 11.5% Resolves today
CryptoWill Ethereum reach $2,700 October 19-25? πŸ”’ 90% Resolves today
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24? πŸ”’ 1.5% Settling
CryptoWill Ethereum reach $2,600 October 19-25? πŸ”’ 3.4% Resolves today
CryptoWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 19-25? πŸ”’ 1.6% Resolves today
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24? πŸ”’ 90.7% Settling
CryptoWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25? πŸ”’ Resolves today
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23? πŸ”’ 98.1% Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October? πŸ”’ 48.5% Open
CryptoWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? πŸ”’ Resolves today
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoPredict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? πŸ”’ 56.5% Open
CryptoWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 19-25? πŸ”’ Resolves today
CryptoWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25? πŸ”’ 11.5% Resolves today
CryptoWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25? πŸ”’ 34.5% Resolves today
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 22? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 19-25? πŸ”’ Resolves today
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 22? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25? πŸ”’ 5.8% Resolves today
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21? πŸ”’ 1.5% Settling
CryptoWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25? πŸ”’ 1.2% YES +1.8 Resolves today
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 21? πŸ”’ 4.4% Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21? πŸ”’ 8.5% Settling
CryptoWill Ethereum reach $4,500 in October? πŸ”’ 20% Open
CryptoWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 19-25? πŸ”’ 6.5% Resolves today
CryptoWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 19-25? πŸ”’ 3.3% NO +0.5 Resolves today
CryptoWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in October? πŸ”’ 50% Open
CryptoPapertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? πŸ”’ Open
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 21? πŸ”’ 1.5% Settling
CryptoWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 21? πŸ”’ 9.5% Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20? πŸ”’ 99.1% Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20? πŸ”’ 3.5% Settling
CryptoWill Ethereum reach $3,100 in October? πŸ”’ 3% Open
CryptoWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 20? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 21? πŸ”’ 2.2% Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 24? πŸ”’ 3.7% Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 19? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19? πŸ”’ Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19? πŸ”’ 5.5% Settling
CryptoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 22? πŸ”’ 1.6% Settling
CryptoWill XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? πŸ”’ Open
CryptoWill Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? πŸ”’ 3.4% Open
CryptoWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18? πŸ”’ 21.5% Settling

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This week's biggest mispricings

βš– Polymarket Β· PoliticsEdge: YESresolves 2026
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? β€” Market: 44% Β· πŸ”’ our model
Legislative momentum looks stronger than the crowd is pricing. Full reasoning and our exact probability are reserved for subscribers.
πŸ”’ Full reasoning, corroboration sources & our exact probability β€” Edge Β£9/mo
βš– Polymarket Β· CryptoEdge: NOon launch
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch? β€” Market: 99.1% Β· πŸ”’ our model
The crowd is pricing near-certainty; residual launch risk may make that too rich. Full reasoning and our exact probability are reserved for subscribers.
πŸ”’ Full reasoning, corroboration sources & our exact probability β€” Edge Β£9/mo
Free

Live signal feed Β· 𝕏 & news

Telegram - cointelegraphBTCShort lean24 Oct Β· 04:46
JUST IN: Spot Bitcoin ETFs just bled $635.6M in a single day, the biggest outflow since June.
The largest daily spot Bitcoin ETF outflow since June, led by substantial IBIT withdrawals, signals strong near-term selling pressure on BTC. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.83 Β· 3-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioETHShort lean26 Oct Β· 12:33
U.S. Spot Ethereum ETFs See $1.07 Billion in 30-Day Net Outflows as ETH Nears $2,300 Support
Sustained $1.07 billion spot ETF outflows indicate strong institutional selling pressure as ETH tests key support near $2,300. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.82 Β· 7-day
News - decrypt.coBTCShort lean26 Oct Β· 12:19
Morning Minute: Bitcoin Breaks Below $80,000 as Iran Fears Hit the Weekend
Bitcoin's break below the psychologically important $80,000 level amid geopolitical risk signals bearish near-term momentum despite modest macro relief. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.82 Β· 3-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioBTCShort lean24 Oct Β· 09:17
Bitcoin Falls Toward $80,000 as ETF Outflows, Long Liquidations, and Risk-Off Sentiment Pressure Price
ETF outflows, long liquidations, and broad risk-off sentiment create strong near-term bearish pressure on Bitcoin. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.82 Β· 3-day
Telegram - cointelegraphETHShort lean24 Oct Β· 15:33
HAYES: "I dumped it all."
Arthur Hayes reportedly sold 8,000 ETH and expressed a near-term bearish outlook, creating a negative sentiment signal. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.78 Β· 3-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioBTCShort lean22 Oct Β· 22:14
Escalating U.S.-Iran tensions lift oil above $113 and help push Bitcoin down nearly 4%
Escalating geopolitical tensions and surging oil prices are driving risk-off pressure that has already pushed Bitcoin down nearly 4%. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.78 Β· 3-day
News wireBTCShort lean26 Oct Β· 07:44
Over $815M in crypto positions liquidated as Bitcoin, Ether prices drop
A sharp Bitcoin price decline accompanied by over $815M in crypto liquidations indicates near-term bearish momentum and weakened leveraged-market confidence. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.72 Β· 3-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioETHShort lean21 Oct Β· 12:13
Drift exploit wallets move $109 million in ETH to Tornado Cash while still holding $138 million
Exploit-linked wallets moving $109 million in ETH to Tornado Cash raises laundering and potential sell-pressure concerns while substantial holdings remain. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.72 Β· 3-day
Telegram - cointelegraphBTCLong lean21 Oct Β· 09:05
BULLISH: CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju says fresh capital is flowing into Bitcoin, adding that β€œthis only happens in bull markets.”
Reported fresh capital inflows into Bitcoin indicate strengthening demand consistent with bullish market conditions. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.72 Β· 7-day
Telegram - cointelegraphETHLong lean20 Oct Β· 19:19
UPDATE: Ethereum staking hit a record 43.8M $ETH, locking up 35.9% of supply, while 69% of SOL was staked by the end of Q3, Bitwise reports.
Record ETH staking locks up 35.9% of supply, reducing liquid supply and supporting a bullish medium-term outlook. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.70 Β· 30-day
News - decrypt.coBTCShort lean26 Oct Β· 13:10
Bitcoin Dips Below $80,000 Ahead of Fed Decision, Midterms
Bitcoin's break below $80,000 amid ETF outflows and a broader tech sell-off signals near-term bearish momentum toward the $75,000 support area. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.68 Β· 3-day
News - cointelegraph.comXRPLong lean26 Oct Β· 11:48
Aviva Investors launches tokenized share class of $29B Sterling fund on XRP Ledger
A major asset manager expanding tokenized fund access on the XRP Ledger supports institutional adoption and network utility, though historically mixed XRP news outcomes limit confidence. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.68 Β· 7-day
News - cointelegraph.comBTCShort lean26 Oct Β· 10:57
BTC price risks $80K loss into FOMC, earnings: Three things to know in Bitcoin this week
Bitcoin's struggle to hold $80,000 ahead of major macro and earnings catalysts creates a moderately bearish near-term setup. | corro: 2 sources agree (short); boost +0.10
Conviction
0.68 Β· 3-day
News wireBTCShort lean26 Oct Β· 10:47
Bitcoin Slips Below $80K As Peter Schiff Warns Of β€˜Very Long Weekend’ For BTC Investors β€” Mike McGlone Says β€˜Don’t Fight The Fed’
Bitcoin's break below $80,000 and warnings of further downside toward $75,000 indicate bearish near-term momentum. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.68 Β· 3-day
News wireBTCLong lean26 Oct Β· 09:26
SEC clears listing of Volatility Shares’ 3x Bitcoin and Ether ETFs
SEC clearance of leveraged Bitcoin ETFs expands regulated access and speculative demand, creating a moderately bullish near-term catalyst despite higher volatility. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.68 Β· 7-day
News wirePEPEShort lean25 Oct Β· 09:08
Pepe (PEPE): 9% Slide Puts Lower Support Zone in Focus
A 9% drop below $0.0000045 shifts momentum bearish and brings a lower support zone into focus, while breakout resistance remains distant. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.68 Β· 3-day
News - cryptoslate.comXRPLong lean25 Oct Β· 14:41
Evernorth takes a page from Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin playbook with new $80 million XRP funding plan
Evernorth's proposed $80 million XRP funding plan signals potentially meaningful institutional buying demand, though registration and allocation conditions make the eventual purchases uncertain. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.67 Β· 7-day
Telegram - cointelegraphSOLLong lean25 Oct Β· 19:36
LATEST: Solana just added $22M in euro stablecoins in a week, more than every other chain on Token Terminal's list combined.
Solana's outsized weekly growth in euro stablecoin liquidity signals strengthening network adoption and capital inflows. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.65 Β· 7-day
Telegram - cointelegraphETHLong lean24 Oct Β· 16:15
BIG: Over a third of all $ETH is now staked, hitting a record of roughly 36% of supply.
Record staking of roughly 36% of ETH supply reduces liquid sellable supply and signals strong holder conviction, creating a moderately bullish longer-term setup. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.64 Β· 30-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioBTCShort lean23 Oct Β· 15:41
789 $BTC (64,314,390 USD) transferred from unknown wallet to Coinbase Institutional
A large BTC transfer to Coinbase Institutional may signal near-term selling pressure, though the wallet's intent is unconfirmed. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.63 Β· 1-day
News wireBTCShort lean26 Oct Β· 07:14
Crypto Strategist Who Nailed 2025 Bitcoin Top Warns BTC Could Drop Below $70,000 – Here’s His Price Target
A prominent analyst's bearish technical outlook targets a decline into the $60,000 range as BTC struggles to break resistance. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.62 Β· 7-day
News - cryptoslate.comDOTShort lean25 Oct Β· 11:29
A 20-month Polkadot wallet breach reveals the dark side of faster crypto withdrawals
A prolonged wallet breach and shortened withdrawal window expose security and recovery risks that could weigh on DOT sentiment over the next few days. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.62 Β· 3-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioBTCShort lean23 Oct Β· 17:47
819 $BTC (66,855,226 USD) transferred from unknown wallet to #Coinbase
A large BTC transfer to Coinbase may signal imminent selling pressure, though the wallet owner's intent is unknown. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.62 Β· 1-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioBTCShort lean23 Oct Β· 15:41
1,909 $BTC (155,650,858 USD) transferred from unknown wallet to Coinbase Institutional
A large BTC transfer to Coinbase Institutional may signal near-term selling pressure, though the wallet's intent is unknown. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.62 Β· 1-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioETHShort lean23 Oct Β· 15:20
38,236 $ETH (91,657,173 USD) transferred from unknown wallet to Coinbase Institutional
A $91.7 million ETH transfer to Coinbase Institutional may signal near-term selling pressure, though the sender's intent is unconfirmed. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.62 Β· 1-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioBTCShort lean23 Oct Β· 07:07
999 $BTC (81,856,582 USD) transferred from unknown wallet to #Binance
A large BTC transfer to Binance may signal near-term selling pressure, though the wallet owner's intent is unknown. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.62 Β· 1-day
Telegram - whale_alert_ioETHLong lean20 Oct Β· 18:16
24,544 $ETH (60,159,274 USD) transferred from unknown wallet to Beacon Depositor
A large transfer to the Beacon Depositor suggests ETH staking and reduced liquid supply, providing a moderately bullish signal. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.62 Β· 7-day
News - cryptoslate.comADALong lean26 Oct Β· 10:57
Cardano moves closer to 15x scaling breakthrough as developers merge key Leios code
Merging key Leios code is a concrete bullish development toward materially higher Cardano throughput, though deployment gains remain subject to testing, governance votes, and mainnet evidence. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.61 Β· 7-day
News - cointelegraph.comBTCLong lean26 Oct Β· 08:35
Bitcoin ETFs break 2-week outflow streak with $301M comeback
A return to $301 million in weekly spot Bitcoin ETF inflows after two weeks of outflows signals renewed institutional demand, though late-week withdrawals temper the bullish edge. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.61 Β· 3-day
News - decrypt.coETHLong lean26 Oct Β· 15:43
Tom Lee's Bitmine Keeps Buying Ethereum But Pivots to Record Share Buybacks
Bitmine's continued ETH accumulation is moderately bullish, though the emphasis on its own share buyback limits the direct catalyst for ETH. | corro: no independent corroboration yet
Conviction
0.58 Β· 7-day

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01 Β· HARVEST

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